Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.536125 15.457602 17.516793 19.883271 22.523163 25.372808 28.676861
2024-10-20 10.195062 12.665847 15.505973 18.995301 23.148761 27.915734 33.780883
2024-10-27 7.778386 10.464845 13.761960 18.068528 23.503026 30.087541 38.618019
2024-11-03 6.635140 9.595555 13.448827 18.761048 25.812698 34.760915 46.868186
2024-11-10 6.058029 9.350503 13.866752 20.395587 29.450663 41.404179 58.181736
2024-11-17 5.356751 8.808526 13.788590 21.319851 32.203333 47.105745 68.736804
2024-11-24 4.536669 7.949834 13.127998 21.313057 33.621797 51.076830 77.233426
2024-12-01 3.746049 6.997708 12.183928 20.745825 34.128297 53.754902 84.070111
2024-12-08 3.200248 6.348563 11.609532 20.649022 35.282876 57.403899 92.507719
2024-12-15 2.819344 5.915802 11.318112 20.945983 37.035341 62.024982 102.645432
2024-12-22 2.426055 5.390533 10.793078 20.779713 38.001561 65.471265 111.180516
2024-12-29 2.266419 5.283565 10.985170 21.846515 41.063294 72.382130 125.486563
2025-01-05 1.988820 4.904023 10.649458 21.978680 42.616385 77.078438 136.759676
2025-01-12 1.657955 4.349888 9.905240 21.276969 42.650262 79.275458 144.134310
2025-01-19 1.366566 3.822381 9.134373 20.426070 42.322526 80.817628 150.501360
2025-01-26 1.271011 3.732959 9.250776 21.315728 45.259895 88.155963 167.063969
2025-02-02 1.264538 3.861172 9.846606 23.226984 50.265352 99.417396 190.961107
2025-02-09 1.192854 3.809678 10.039260 24.321153 53.777020 108.212017 211.014723
2025-02-16 1.056372 3.558539 9.745487 24.353298 55.203008 113.304417 224.794619
2025-02-23 0.899737 3.215694 9.186173 23.742094 55.278466 115.893543 234.204504
2025-03-02 0.792789 2.991451 8.878390 23.650462 56.393811 120.474023 247.441334
2025-03-09 0.720469 2.855489 8.769777 23.996236 58.434261 126.907660 264.374537
2025-03-16 0.633299 2.650922 8.453405 23.816783 59.333102 131.168555 277.436369